Once a quarter I'll be updating the tech forecast as I see it From the first example you will see that I don't always call it perfectly, but I'll always call it honestly.
Written last Christmas, this article looks at near term and longer term outlooks for the Personal Computer and the industry that supports it.
This section is aimed at writings about managing technology and managing people who work with technology, mainly but not exclusively about programming staff and managers.
There is a six part "Building Software in an Organized Fashion" (BSOF) under construction. The first two are in draft form below, the other four were published by Byte.com as my first four columns. They need more work for clarity because I am explaining a complex idea. As I have time, those revised columns will be added to this index. (see below)
Building powerful software is hard. It is a complex, demanding process which requires organization, teamwork and communications. The skills and resources involved are not trivial. If you understand the difficult challenge of the task, you will be less surprised that one third of all major projects fail. They are usually stopped after big financial overruns, sometimes years after the original optimistic completion dates have been missed.
Traditional management and software projects simply don't work well, and sometimes, not at all. The fault is often ascribed to recalctrant programmers, but at best, that is only a partial answer. The real answers are more complex.
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